{"id":6163,"date":"2025-08-04T07:01:43","date_gmt":"2025-08-04T07:01:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/?p=6163"},"modified":"2025-08-04T07:01:43","modified_gmt":"2025-08-04T07:01:43","slug":"raiffeisen-lowers-romanias-2025-gdp-growth-forecast-to-0-7","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/?p=6163","title":{"rendered":"Raiffeisen lowers Romania\u2019s 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.7%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Raiffeisen Bank has cut its projection for Romania\u2019s economic growth in 2025 to 0.7%, citing the impact of a challenging global trading environment and slowing international demand, the Austrian lender said in its semi-annual report.<\/p>\n<p>The bank now expects Romania\u2019s gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by 1.3% in 2026, <a href=\"https:\/\/cursdeguvernare.ro\/raiffaisen-a-redus-prognoza-pentru-cresterea-pib-in-romania-in-2025-la-07-si-au-majorat-o-pentru-inflatie-la-65-la-sfarsitul-anului.html?mc_cid=ecf71b5699&amp;mc_eid=cd1f92f96c\" target=\"_blank\">Cursdeguvernare.ro<\/a> reported.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe difficult trading environment and the resulting global economic slowdown will likely have a negative impact on small and open economies in Central Europe,\u201d Raiffeisen analysts stated.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>Romania\u2019s fiscal consolidation programme is expected to weigh heavily on domestic activity this year, contributing to the downward revision.<\/p>\n<p>Across Central and Eastern Europe (CEE), economic growth is forecast to remain modest, with industrial output lagging behind services. Poland is seen as a positive exception due to the anticipated release of European Union funds by 2025.<\/p>\n<p>The steepest forecast downgrades were recorded for South-Eastern Europe (SEE), where Romania\u2019s weaker performance is expected to drag on the regional average. Raiffeisen projects GDP growth of 1.8% in SEE this year and 2.2% in 2026.<\/p>\n<p>The bank expects the National Bank of Romania to maintain its key interest rate at 6.5% in 2025, matching Hungary\u2019s level. It anticipates a gradual easing to 5.25% in 2026 and 3.5% in 2027.<\/p>\n<p>Average inflation in Romania is projected to reach 6.5% in 2025 and 5.9% in 2026, the highest in the region. By comparison, inflation in Hungary is expected at 4.5% and 3.8%, and in the Czech Republic at 2.5% and 2.3% for the same periods.<\/p>\n<p><em>iulian@romania-insider.com<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em>(Photo source: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dreamstime.com\/\">Ruletkka\/Dreamstime.com<\/a>)<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Raiffeisen Bank has cut its projection for Romania\u2019s economic growth in 2025 to 0.7%, citing the impact of a challenging global trading environment and slowing international demand, the Austrian lender said in its semi-annual report. The bank now expects Romania\u2019s gross domestic product (GDP) to grow by 1.3% in 2026, Cursdeguvernare.ro reported. \u201cThe difficult trading [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6163","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6163","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=6163"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/6163\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=6163"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=6163"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=6163"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}