{"id":3969,"date":"2025-03-04T09:00:58","date_gmt":"2025-03-04T09:00:58","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/?p=3969"},"modified":"2025-03-04T09:00:58","modified_gmt":"2025-03-04T09:00:58","slug":"romania-presidential-elections-mkor-study-says-calin-georgescu-leads-voting-intentions-but-ilie-bolojan-could-win-second-round","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/?p=3969","title":{"rendered":"Romania presidential elections: MKOR study says C\u0103lin Georgescu leads voting intentions but Ilie Bolojan could win second round"},"content":{"rendered":"

A new study by MKOR shows that pro-Russian politician C\u0103lin Georgescu is the frontrunner in Romania\u2019s presidential race, with 36.6% of voters favoring him in the first round. However, the data suggests that acting president Ilie Bolojan<\/strong> could defeat him in the runoff, where he would secure 42% of the votes against Georgescu\u2019s 40%.<\/p>\n

Ilie Bolojan said he would not run in the presidential elections this May, as the ruling coalition already has a candidate – former Liberal leader Crin Antonescu. However, he has been circulated as a possible good choice in a race against the far-right\u2019s likely candidate, C\u0103lin Georgescu.<\/p>\n

The study said that pro-Russian politician C\u0103lin Georgescu enjoys widespread support across different age groups, particularly among voters aged 28-56, with lower to middle incomes and general education backgrounds. His appeal is driven by an anti-system sentiment (38%) and his personal image (18%).\u00a0<\/p>\n

However, despite his strong showing in the first round, his ability to maintain support in a head-to-head contest remains uncertain.<\/p>\n

Ilie Bolojan is emerging as a credible challenger, currently polling at 12.2% in the first round when voters are presented with a shortlist of candidates. His strengths lie in his perceived competence (26%) and integrity (33%), making him particularly popular among voters over 30, those with above-average incomes, and individuals with higher education.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Bolojan\u2019s advantage in the second round comes from his ability to mobilize a broader segment of the electorate while reducing voter indecision, the study noted.<\/p>\n

Bucharest mayor Nicu\u0219or Dan also ranks among the top contenders, with 11.8% support in a restricted list and 8.4% in spontaneous mentions. Seen as an anti-system candidate by 65% of his supporters, he appeals primarily to urban voters, high-income individuals, and those with higher education.<\/p>\n

However, in a second-round matchup against Georgescu, Dan would likely fall short, with 36% support compared to Georgescu\u2019s 42%.<\/p>\n

The study also highlights concerns over Crin Antonescu\u2019s candidacy. As the coalition-backed candidate, Antonescu has only 7.4% support in a restricted list and just 3.1% in spontaneous mentions. His presence in a second-round runoff against Georgescu would increase voter absenteeism, as many of his potential supporters remain undecided.<\/p>\n

Voter turnout remains a key factor in the election, with 79% of respondents saying they would participate if the first round were held this Sunday. However, confidence in candidates remains low, with 53% of undecided voters citing a lack of trust in politicians and 20% expressing disappointment in the political system.<\/p>\n

The MKOR study was conducted online, with a nationally representative sample of 1,100 respondents aged 18-65. The results align with voter preferences recorded in the first round of the 2024 presidential elections, providing further validation of the findings.<\/p>\n

irina.marica@romania-insider.com<\/p>\n

(Photo source: Inquam Photos\/Octav Ganea)<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

A new study by MKOR shows that pro-Russian politician C\u0103lin Georgescu is the frontrunner in Romania\u2019s presidential race, with 36.6% of voters favoring him in the first round. However, the data suggests that acting president Ilie Bolojan could defeat him in the runoff, where he would secure 42% of the votes against Georgescu\u2019s 40%. Ilie […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3969","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3969","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=3969"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3969\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=3969"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=3969"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/ofero.news\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=3969"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}